Former boxer-turned-philosopher Mike Tyson once said, “Everybody has a plan until they get smacked in the mouth.” You may have made some big plans for this fall. For example, you have put it off for a year. Large-scale groundhog and human raves, for whatever reason, believe that the Covid19 coronavirus pandemic is actually over. Well, when the mouth touches the ball, it is a spiky virus ball. For many of the fall plans you can make, the Delta variant of the Covid19 coronavirus basically says, “Oh no, it’s not like that.”
If you didn’t hear the news, because you’ve been wrapping it in more toilet paper Your head and ears, then the most contagious Delta variant of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARSCoV2) has spread in the United States. In the last month, the number of new Covid19 cases and hospitalizations has increased. This came after the premature relaxation of Covid19 preventive measures last spring. The premature relaxation of social distancing and the wearing of masks has led many people in the United States to prematurely believe that the pandemic is somehow over and to make premature plans for the fall.
Now that premature relaxation has led to disappointment and confusion, how much premature release will happen. It also resulted in a complete set of memes describing the impact of the Delta variant on the fall plan. For example, Grammy Award-winning singer Mariah Carey seems to have discovered that her initial fall plans are “disappearing”, so to speak:
This is an article by author Mina Harris:
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is deducted from your employer every month. View from an account that appears to be shared How about this picture from the Twin Peaks TV series:
from a Twitter account who claims to be “a man who loves and supports Nathan Fielder”: The
Delta variant brings more uncertainty to uncertain situations. Oscar-winning actress Viola Davis can’t decide what her current fall plan will look like:
But not everyone is changing their fall plan:
All of this really shouldn’t be a huge surprise. Although no real public health experts have declared that the Covid19 coronavirus pandemic is over, people began to treat masks as dirty underwear this spring. Social distancing disappeared like the song “People I Know”. People began to make plans for the fall. Many plans.
But planning for the fall is like booking a nail art when your house is on fire. As long as SARSCoV2 continues to spread widely and the vaccination level is still far below the herd immunity threshold, it will be unpredictable in the near future. Before it was determined that the murderer was really beaten, how many times did people say in horror movies: “Okay, shall we make love now?”
Red Cross volunteers fought the Spanish flu epidemic in the United States in 1918.
The 1918 flu pandemic lasted from 1918 to 1920. (Photo by Apic / Getty Images) GETTY IMAGES
On the other hand, this epidemic will not last forever. Look at what happened to the 1918 influenza pandemic. As the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) website shows, the flu pandemic began with the first “pioneer” wave in the spring of 1918. Then, the flu activity began in the summer of 1918 and decreased for a while. The largest increase then occurred between the fall of 1918 and the winter of 1918-1919. Virus activity declined again in the summer of 1919 and then resumed again in the fall of 1919 until the winter of 1919-1920, until the pandemic finally ended in 1920 and began about three years later.
The 1968 H3N2 influenza virus pandemic began later in the year of July 1968. Therefore, there is no initial wave of spring “pioneers.” However, the epidemic also spanned three calendar years, from 1968 to 1970.
Therefore, it is not surprising if the current Covid19 coronavirus pandemic follows a similar pattern in the United States, lasting from 2020 to 2022, and eventually disappearing in the spring of 2022. SARS CoV2 will continue to spread until the level of herd immunity is reached. Threshold required to prevent its spread. Think of people as viral parking spaces, where the virus drives frantically while trying to avoid urinating on your pants. As long as there are enough empty parking spaces, that is, corpses that can be infected, the virus can continue to spread. However, these parking spaces can be prevented through vaccination or immunity recovered from Covid19. If the virus cannot find an open parking space within the limited time it can survive outside the human body, then the virus will have no choice.
can’t wait until 2022? Then persuade more people around you to fully vaccinate. This is indeed the only way to shorten the natural course of a pandemic. It takes a while to wait for enough people to get natural immune protection after infection, and it will cause a lot of pain and more lives in the process.
So far, the currently available Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna and Johnson & Johnson Covid19 vaccines seem to continue to provide reasonable protection against Delta variants. The vaccine is certainly not perfect. Therefore, relying only on vaccines to protect yourself is like going out and wearing only underwear.
The only big change is the emergence of new variants. Eventually, there may be a variant that can continue to exceed the protection provided by the vaccine. As the virus continues to spread, new variants will emerge.

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